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2 Sep 2010  -  Publication
America's grand strategy in Asia: what would Mahan do?
In the Lowy Institute’s latest Asia security ‘Strategic Snapshot’, distinguished American Asia scholar and former senior White House official Dr Michael J. Green examines Asia’s changing power dynamics and asks what grand strategy 19th century geo-strategist Alfred Thayer Mahan, the father of US sea-power, would advocate for the United States if he were alive today. Responding to Power and Choice, the Lowy Institute’s flagship report on alternative Asian security futures, Dr Green makes a powerful case for a modern US Asia strategy drawing on Mahan’s insights and based on a strong forward maritime presence, strengthened cooperation with allies, a reaffirmed American commitment to free trade, and promotion of the values the United States shares with its key Asian partners.



1 Sep 2010  -  Publication
Our consensus future: the lay of the land in 2025
The global financial crisis is a powerful reminder of how bad we are at forecasting. Yet despite the scale of this recent shock, we continue to have a fairly strong consensus view of where the world economy is likely to head over the next couple of decades. Indeed, this consensus forecast has survived the GFC largely unscathed. In a new Perspectives based on a presentation to the Australian Economic Forum on 6 August 2010, Mark Thirlwell describes this consensus future and some of the risks associated with it.






1 Sep 2010  -  Publication
Wednesday Lunch at Lowy - Professor David Shambaugh presentation
As China emerges fully on the global stage, its impact is being felt in various dimensions -diplomatic, commercial, cultural, energy and environment, military-strategic, global governance, and other domains. Yet the international community remains very uncertain of China’s intentions, goals, strategies, and tactics. One way to begin to understand how China may behave on the global stage is to delve into domestic debates about China’s international identity and roles in the world. Professor Shambaugh’s lecture at the Wednesday Lunch on 1 September illuminated China’s domestic discourse about its international position.

His presentation can be heard here:
China's competing international identities: the conflicted rising power - MP3 (19MB)