Publications

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Expecting the unexpected
Analyses
Expecting the unexpected
To estimate the emissions reductions and costs of a climate policy, analysts usually compare a policy scenario with a baseline scenario of future economic conditions without the…
Hope or glory? The presidential election, US foreign policy and Australia
Analyses
Hope or glory? The presidential election, US foreign policy and Australia
What is at stake in a US presidential election in terms of American foreign policy? How might the temperament and world-views of the respective candidates be interpreted? In this…
Bad moon not rising: the myth of the Shi'a crescent
Analyses
Bad moon not rising: the myth of the Shi'a crescent
Accusations that a Shi'a crescent is emerging in the Arab world following the rise of a Shi'a government in Iraq and the actions of Hizbullah in Lebanon, have provoked much…
Restraining nuclear arms in the Asian century: an agenda for Australia
Analyses
Restraining nuclear arms in the Asian century: an agenda for Australia
In this Analysis, International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf provides background and detail for his proposals for renewed Australian activism on nuclear non…
After Doha: the search for Plan B
Analyses
After Doha: the search for Plan B
The Doha round of world trade talks has collapsed. After the negotiations were suspended back in July 2006, Mark Thirlwell wrote that – regardless of the ultimate outcome of the…
China can grow and still help prevent the tragedy of the carbon dioxide commons
Analyses
China can grow and still help prevent the tragedy of the carbon dioxide commons
Under reasonable assumptions, China could achieve parity in living standard with Western Europe by 2100, and India by 2150. Climate change, however, may be a key obstacle…
Building on Kyoto: towards a realistic global climate agreement
Analyses
Building on Kyoto: towards a realistic global climate agreement
Although the Kyoto Protocol has not been effective at reducing emissions, it has been very effective at demonstrating a few important lessons about the form future international…
The dragon looks south
Analyses
The dragon looks south
China refuses to release figures on the size of its aid program. In this new Lowy Institute Analysis, Fergus Hanson takes a region-wide look at the scale of China’s aid program,…
What does a free-trade area of the Asia-Pacific mean to China
Analyses
What does a free-trade area of the Asia-Pacific mean to China
A Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP) has been proposed as a long-term prospect by the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC).Warwick McKibbin , Tingsong Jiang