Asia

North Korea: A realistic path to regime change
One of the great career mistakes a North Korea analyst can make is to predict Pyongyang's downfall, or (even worse) try to attach an actual date to that event. The Democratic…
India and China: Playing 'Go' in the Indian Ocean
China and India are fast emerging as major maritime powers in the Indo-Pacific as part of long-term shifts in the regional balance of power. As their wealth, interests, and power…
Digital Asia links: ISIS in Indonesia, South China Sea hacks, WeChat in Africa and more
The Asia Pacific is the most dynamic digital landscape in the world, home to the fastest adopters of new technologies and the largest concentration of mobile and social media…
The Philippines considers the price of victory in South China Sea
Significant moments in history never follow the path of least resistance. They are often memorable at least partly because they were won at great cost. Such is the case for the…
We must not be bullied out of South China Sea
Commentary
We must not be bullied out of South China Sea
Originally published in The Australian.Euan Graham
Digital Diplomacy links: PokemonGO, Indian intel, emoji equality, cyberpower and more
Pakistan's Interior Minister is concerned Indian intelligence may be using social media to spread rumours that could bring down the morale of Pakistani forces. Five experts…
Principled engagement: Rebuilding defence ties with Fiji
Analyses
Principled engagement: Rebuilding defence ties with Fiji
In this Lowy Institute Analysis, Anna Powles and Jose Sousa-Santos argue that Russia’s sale of arms to Fiji underlines how the security orthodoxy in the Pacific Islands region is…
Poker, chess and Go: How the US should respond in the South China Sea
The Permanent Court of Arbitration's decision places more pressure on the US than China, as Washington must now act to support this emphatic judgement. Failure to do so will…
Ruling says no state is an island
Commentary
Ruling says no state is an island
Originally published in The Australian Financial Review.Euan Graham
South China Sea ruling sweeps away diplomatic ambiguities
Editor's note: We mistakenly published an earlier version of this article. This is the corrected text. Tuesday’s ruling by the International Tribunal on the Law of the Sea has…