Myanmar
Myanmar: a new abnormal
Analysis of conflict in Myanmar is dominated by direct data on actual armed combat or its immediate effects: casualty rates, desertions, arson attacks, air strikes, and civilian…
Beware sensational claims about Myanmar’s security environment
There is something about Myanmar that seems to attract bizarre ideas and wild stories. It may be the dearth of hard information about the country, which encourages gossip, rumours…
In Myanmar, India should also engage the opposition
In the two-and-a-half years since the military seized power in Myanmar, the junta has faced an increasingly critical West, an ambivalent ASEAN, and a far less critical India and…
The new Thai PM has his work cut out on Myanmar
A month after Srettha Thavisin was sworn in as Thailand’s prime minister from a coalition made up of Thaksin Shinawatra’s Pheu Thai Party and pro-military factions, the real…
How credible are the casualty figures coming out of Myanmar?
Since the latest civil war began in Myanmar in 2021, elements of the opposition movement have been making increasingly bold claims about its battlefield successes and the problems…
Remember the Rohingya, for disease hasn’t forgotten them
The nightmare scenario has arrived for the Rohingya people living in refugee camps in Bangladesh. Disease and living conditions have reached a level that is unacceptable and…
The myth of military desperation in Myanmar
Myanmar’s multi-sided civil war has no end in sight. Since the February 2021 coup d’état, resistance to the military junta (formally known as the State Administrative Council or…
Are Western intelligence agencies “fuelling an armed rebellion” in Myanmar?
For decades, Myanmar’s generals have been convinced that they are under attack from foreign intelligence agencies, which they believe operate secretly within the country and…
In a meaningless gesture, Myanmar’s junta cuts Aung San Suu Kyi’s sentence
Myanmar’s generals have long demonstrated an extraordinary capacity to remember everything, and to learn nothing. Sometimes this serves them well. Much of the world, when it…
Has history left Aung San Suu Kyi behind?
It has been suggested recently that Myanmar’s imprisoned State Counsellor, Aung San Suu Kyi, has been left behind by history and is no longer relevant to the outcome of the civil…