Andrew Selth
Biography
Publications
Dr Andrew Selth is an Adjunct Professor at the Griffith Asia Institute, at Griffith University, Brisbane, and author of numerous books, monographs and articles on Myanmar.
A collected volume of his Interpreter columns, Interpreting Myanmar: A Decade of Analysis, was recently published by ANU Press.
![Myanmar’s military numbers](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1238397665.jpg?itok=CN-2r-0S)
Myanmar’s military numbers
Simply comparing the estimated number of combatants on the two sides is not a valid basis to assess combat capabilities.
![Myanmar’s annus horribilis](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/2021-12/GettyImages-1232021043.jpg?itok=s4IK3Osk)
Myanmar’s annus horribilis
The security situation is more complex and dangerous than it has been since the 1950s, without a resolution in sight.
![If pushed far enough, would Myanmar leave ASEAN?](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1233606996.jpg?itok=i4VAdSX_)
If pushed far enough, would Myanmar leave ASEAN?
Some generals once feared joining the regional body would expose Myanmar to foreign pressures.
![Myanmar, terrorism and the demands of international politics](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1233270831.jpg?itok=0GgOalvj)
Myanmar, terrorism and the demands of international politics
Name-calling is one thing, but the new kind of civil war may cause problems for the opposition movement.
![Myanmar and a new kind of civil war](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1232735923%20copy.jpg?itok=mQEEMu3A)
Myanmar and a new kind of civil war
Urban dissidents trained by battle-hardened guerillas in the countryside could make things harder for the Tatmadaw.
![The upward spiral of violence in Myanmar](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1231750993.jpg?itok=OJIPmTey)
The upward spiral of violence in Myanmar
Past experience shows the protesters’ options are limited – fight back and the fight will only get harder.
![Myanmar’s personalised politics](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1231505888.jpg?itok=-xtngQR3)
Myanmar’s personalised politics
It can be simplistic to reduce complex problems to two stubborn people, but we can wonder about what might have been.
![Myanmar’s coup will test the loyalty of the security forces](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1231194141%20copy.jpg?itok=niOTQ2uQ)
Myanmar’s coup will test the loyalty of the security forces
Don’t assume the various armed forces organisations are just a mindless mass prepared to do whatever they are told.
![The coup in Myanmar: What do we know?](https://www.lowyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/styles/expert_publications/public/GettyImages-1230930881.jpg?itok=J5YfAF2Y)
The coup in Myanmar: What do we know?
The trigger for a military takeover remains unclear. Plenty of good questions have very few satisfactory answers.