Prof Rory Medcalf AM

Nonresident Fellow
Prof Rory Medcalf AM
Biography
Publications

Professor Rory Medcalf is a former Nonresident Fellow at the Lowy Institute.

He has been Head of the National Security College (NSC) at the Australian National University since 2015. He has led the expansion of the College into policy engagement and futures analysis, as well as executive development, education and research. He was founding Director of the International Security Program at the Lowy Institute from 2007 to 2015.

Professor Medcalf worked as a senior strategic analyst with the Office of National Assessments (now the Office of National Intelligence). He was an Australian diplomat, with assignments in New Delhi, Tokyo and Bougainville. He has contributed to three landmark reports on nuclear arms control. His earlier work in journalism was commended in Australia’s leading media awards, the Walkleys, in 1991. He has been recognised as a thought leader internationally for his work on the influential Indo-Pacific concept, as articulated in his book Contest for the Indo-Pacific (released internationally as Indo-Pacific Empire).

Professor Medcalf was a member of the advisory panel on the Australian Government’s 2016 Defence White Paper. He is on the board of the National Foundation for Australia-China Relations, the ASEAN Regional Forum Register of Experts and Eminent Persons, and the scientific advisory council of the Finnish Institute for International Affairs. In 2022 he was appointed a Member of the Order of Australia for significant service to international relations and tertiary education.

A frightening prospect: war in the East China Sea
Commentary
A frightening prospect: war in the East China Sea
In this article on The Diplomat’s China Power blog, Rory Medcalf responds to Hugh White’s contention that imminent conflict may be on the horizon for Beijing and Tokyo…
Can military diplomacy keep the peace in 2013?
Commentary
Can military diplomacy keep the peace in 2013?
In this article on The Diplomat’s Flashpoints blog, Rory Medcalf looks the prospect of using bilateral and multilateral military diplomacy to manage security tensions in…
Britain’s Asia comeback
Commentary
Britain’s Asia comeback
In this article on The Diplomat’s Flashpoints blog, Rory Medcalf questions the likelihood of Britain becoming a serious security player in Asia.Rory Medcalf
Australia and India: common goals, budding partnership
Commentary
Australia and India: common goals, budding partnership
In this article on The Diplomat’s Flashpoints blog, Rory Medcalf examines Australia and India’s strategic partnership following Bob Carr’s visit to India.Rory…
Australia's security challenge
Commentary
Australia's security challenge
In this article on The Diplomat’s Flashpoints blog, Rory Medcalf looks at the Gillard government’s National Security Strategy in the context of recent cuts to defence…
Can social media calm the waters between Japan and China?
Commentary
Can social media calm the waters between Japan and China?
In an opinion piece in American Review magazine, Rory Medcalf analyses the effect social media has had on relations between Japan and China in the East China Sea.Rory Medcalf
India and China: competitive coexistence in the Asian Century
Analyses
India and China: competitive coexistence in the Asian Century
In this book chapter, the Lowy Institute’s Rory Medcalf and Ashley Townshend examine the factors that are likely to influence the strategic dynamic of the China-India…
Australia place in the Asian century
Analyses
Australia place in the Asian century
In this extended article for The Diplomat, the Lowy Institute’s Rory Medcalf examines the aspirations and the omissions of the Australia’s Government’s October…
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