11 hours ago
Cat-astrophe! What happens when dirty-minded North Koreans meet Iranian nuclear purrfidy
I spy an invisible cat. Two, in fact.
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14 hours ago
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18 Nov 2024
An early winter in Kyiv?
Unpicking the implications of Trump’s election win on the war in Ukraine. -
6 Nov 2024
Moldova and Georgia serve as geopolitical bellwethers
With the two countries on diverging paths after recent elections, the choice appears to be between Russia and the West. -
5 Nov 2024
What’s new in Russia’s latest nuclear statement?
Vladimir Putin has rattled his sabre once again in the face of US and NATO deliberations on Ukraine’s use of weapons. -
17 Oct 2024
North Korean troops in Russia: The first test of the Russia-North Korea alliance
Should the deployment be confirmed, history offers three ways to gauge the cohesion of Pyongyang’s ties to Moscow. -
17 Oct 2024
A shared struggle: Ukrainians and their volunteer supporters on the front lines
An unyielding will in the face of invasion has inspired heroes at home and from afar. -
8 Oct 2024
When the friendly skies above go dark, rockets light up
How airspace closures signal the geopolitical strategies unfolding in the Middle East. -
7 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and Ukraine: Is the US truly committed to Ukrainian victory?
The only nation with a viable theory of victory is Russia. Harris must decide if the US will change that equation. -
3 Oct 2024
Trump may surprise us on the Ukraine war
If Donald Trump can’t achieve a quick solution in Ukraine, he could well turn on Putin and increase US support to Ukraine. -
24 Sep 2024
North Korea and its middle power friends
The latest Asia Power Index has Pyongyang pegged as Moscow’s best buddy…for now. -
6 Sep 2024
Russian sanctions: Why has Australia stayed quiet on reparations?
With strong rule of law credentials and expertise, Canberra should use its advantage in responses to war. -
3 Sep 2024
Hong Kong keeps Russia’s dark fleet afloat
Operating under flags of convenience, hundreds of vessels are evading the sanctions meant to stifle movement. -
21 Aug 2024
Surprise and modern war
The Kursk offensive is a reminder of the enduring power of surprise. Prudence suggests that Australia needs be prepared. -
16 Aug 2024
Explaining Ukraine’s hopes with a bold attack in Kursk – and how it might backfire, badly
In a calculated gamble, the purpose appears as much political as military: a positive shift to the narrative, directed at multiple audiences. -
2 Aug 2024
What Australia can learn from Ukraine's long-range strike weapons
Ukraine now has multiple options for strike operations at an affordable cost. This is exactly what the Australian Defence Force needs. -
24 Jul 2024
Good vibes only: Can Starmer make the European Political Community work?
Europe’s newest strategic forum has the chance to rally regional leaders around common defence and security challenges. -
22 Jul 2024
The deadly consequences of misclassifying foreign fighters in Ukraine
Russia calls them mercenaries to deny international legal protections. Accountability is essential. -
2 Jul 2024
Putin goes to Pyongyang: Should we be worried?
The renewed marriage of convenience between Russia and North Korea has global implications. -
2 Jul 2024
Pariah states and the Olympic Games
With the Paris Games only weeks away, the controversy around athletes from “rogue” countries is set to intensify. -
28 Jun 2024
Putin in Asia: Setting a cat among the pigeons
Ever a pragmatist, the Russian leader’s calculated alignments are purely based on needs and interests. -
6 Jun 2024
Zelenskyy put a spotlight on China’s Ukraine war problem: Defend Ukraine’s sovereignty, or Russian security?
Even a powerful state must make trade-offs in its foreign policy. -
17 May 2024
Time to recognise the Crimean Tatar genocide
Acknowledging the crimes in the 1940s would underline the attachment to Ukraine and rebuff changing borders by force. -
10 May 2024
Ukraine gets the green light for strikes in Russia – it was long overdue
But nor does this mean the end of Western hesitancy in its support for Ukraine. -
10 May 2024
All wars end. But how will the one in Ukraine?
An obsession with deterrence of Russian aggression treats Ukraine as a by-product rather than the main game. -
23 Apr 2024
The Kyrgyzstan route facilitating Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
Russia’s military aims in Ukraine have been furthered by its trade with the Central Asian nation. -
15 Apr 2024
Russia conundrum in the Caucasus and beyond
Once a de facto leader in the post-Soviet space, Moscow is now falling outside the friend zone in its own backyard. -
3 Apr 2024
Why Russia has only now declared war on Ukraine
A game of semantic camouflage allows the Kremlin to reposition itself onto a war footing. -
26 Mar 2024
Moscow attacks: Why Putin was quick to blame Ukraine
The Kremlin is covering its own mistakes in the bid to deflect attention. -
25 Mar 2024
The message Japan sends by backing Ukraine
An evolving foreign and defence policy is on display. -
4 Mar 2024
Why is Putin again threatening a nuclear war?
And just as importantly, is the West willing to call his bluff? -
26 Feb 2024
You name it! Are country name changes necessary?
The reasons behind rebranding a nation are myriad – from overt nationalism to anti-colonialism and everything in between. -
16 Feb 2024
The right lessons for Australia’s future warships
The war in Ukraine appears to be a revolution in naval warfare. Australia’s upcoming Surface Fleet Review must reflect on the consequences. -
16 Feb 2024
Putin believes that time is on Russia’s side – and, sadly, he has a point
Ukraine will be up against it maintaining Western support this year. -
23 Jan 2024
An Australian strategy for improved aid to Ukraine
More resources would be a good start – as well as diplomatic backing, better coordination, and a stronger statement about why democracy matters. -
19 Dec 2023
Putin’s confidence heading into 2024
In the Russian leader’s world, friends are returning and with it the whiff of success. -
18 Dec 2023
Ukraine’s game of thrones
It’s not surprising that political tensions are playing out at home amid frustration over progress in the war. -
13 Nov 2023
1947 and now
Strife in the Middle East, hyper-partisans in the US Congress, and Russian troops on the march. We've been here before. -
8 Nov 2023
Ukraine’s energy fightback
Expert crews are risking their lives to keep the lights on amid Russia’s invasion – with help from far away, too. -
3 Nov 2023
Russia seeks benefit from the Gaza conflict
Moscow hopes the Middle East will distract the West from supporting Ukraine – but old troubles at home could stir again. -
2 Nov 2023
Ukraine: 2024 headwinds
A country already severely tested will face challenges in politics, maintaining global attention, and ensuring the necessities of war. -
26 Oct 2023
A Marshall Plan for Ukraine?
History can be a useful guide, but the geopolitical circumstances of today are vastly different. -
24 Oct 2023
The dual-use conundrum
Restrictions on technology with both a civilian and military application are too often worthless without better coordination. -
10 Oct 2023
McCarthy’s fall and the far-right influence on American foreign policy
Critical support for Ukraine’s war effort could be torpedoed by a small minority of US congressional extremists. -
6 Oct 2023
Power of Siberia 2: Moving beyond a pipe dream?
Australia would be wise to diversify its gas exports now before Russia’s pivot to Asia takes hold. -
2 Oct 2023
Ukraine counteroffensive makes gains but dark clouds loom in Washington
Successful attacks and talk of new missile systems shifts momentum in Kyiv’s favour provided that political support is sustained. -
11 Sep 2023
Ukraine has Moscow in its crosshairs but that shouldn’t make us squeamish
Don’t be fooled by Putin’s bluster. Giving Russia impunity by limiting destruction to Ukraine is no way to win the war. -
5 Sep 2023
Danger Will Robinson: Warfighting robots fast approaching
A swarm of angry Australian-made cardboard attack drones sets the scene for all future conflicts. -
30 Aug 2023
Europe’s last war
Remembering the Bosnian conflict of 30 years ago to compare how the world responds to Russia’s war on Ukraine today. -
17 Aug 2023
The Baltic response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
A history of atrocities at the hands of Moscow steels the resolve of its neighbouring states.