6 Nov 2024
America makes Trump great, again
First thoughts on where Trump will steer US actions in Asia, the Pacific, and the rest of the world.
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9 Oct 2024
Governor Tim Walz and Minnesota’s relations with China
Supine? His record says no, but he’s not a strategist, either. -
7 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and Ukraine: Is the US truly committed to Ukrainian victory?
The only nation with a viable theory of victory is Russia. Harris must decide if the US will change that equation. -
7 Oct 2024
Trump would put personality over policy in the Middle East
Donald Trump’s overarching impulse towards the Middle East can be boiled down to: look strong, but don’t do too much. -
4 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and national security: The rising cost of military leadership
A Harris administration is unlikely to reverse America’s eroding military advantage over China. -
4 Oct 2024
A Trump win splits the East Asian triangle
Much commentary about China and the US election has suggested Beijing prefers Trump. In fact, the opposite might be the case. -
3 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and the Indo-Pacific: Correcting the attention deficit
Many Southeast Asian countries already see the United States as a more distant and less reliable partner. -
3 Oct 2024
Trump may surprise us on the Ukraine war
If Donald Trump can’t achieve a quick solution in Ukraine, he could well turn on Putin and increase US support to Ukraine. -
2 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and the Pacific Islands
Pacific Island countries want to hear more from the Democratic nominee about how she will support the region. -
2 Oct 2024
Trumpian economic nationalism is not what the world or America needs
Donald Trump’s policies are a recipe for higher global inflation, greater fragmentation, and more inequality. -
1 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and China: Competition and antagonism, continued
Harris is largely a blank slate on China policy. She is likely to stick to Biden policy positions and instincts, which means relations will remain rocky. -
1 Oct 2024
Trump and Asian security
Ideological and policy tribalism is a feature of every presidency. The new Trump team will be no different. -
30 Sep 2024
Kamala Harris and trade: Better than the alternative, but not much
Judging by the lack of major policy announcements from the Harris campaign, her administration is likely to largely maintain the Biden trajectory. -
30 Sep 2024
How Australia should deal with Trump
Trump disparages the liberal international order. Australia may need to serve in its bodyguard. -
25 Sep 2024
Bargaining chips: What the Vance Doctrine means for Taiwan
With Taiwanese chips integral to the US economy, the would-be vice president is promoting his own brand of restrained nationalism. -
11 Sep 2024
Harris vs Trump marks the lines of foreign policy debate
Look past the barbs and snappy sound bites and the real choice is clear. -
10 Sep 2024
AI might better predict Trump’s foreign policy
A method marked the madness and can be decoded. -
9 Sep 2024
Three safe bets on the 47th president’s foreign policy
Whatever the outcome of the US election, states will remain self-interested, and material power will reign supreme. -
29 Aug 2024
Harris vs Trump, and the foreign policy shake-up ahead
From AUKUS and the South China Sea, to Taiwan and Ukraine, Canberra and other allies will need creative diplomacy in their kit bag after November's election. -
28 Aug 2024
Byte-sized diplomacy: Countering digital foreign interference
The danger is back in the spotlight as the US election unfolds. But who is interfering and how can we counter it? -
26 Jul 2024
Deadpool & Wolverine can rescue America from Trump
A superhero film to save a country in danger. -
23 Jul 2024
America’s election: It’s not foreign policy, stupid
For all the noise of the campaign, the next few months will be a quiet time in America’s approach to international affairs. -
22 Jul 2024
Bye Biden
The rollercoaster quality of politics and political coverage seems to ensure the head-jerks will continue. -
15 Jul 2024
Trump attack will bolster his dark vision of America
For a candidate that has themselves incited violence while playing the victim, Trump now clearly is the victim. -
10 Jul 2024
Why Democrats suddenly have “buyer’s remorse” with Biden
The public can see Biden’s weaknesses, making his strategy-in-contrast far less persuasive this time around. -
9 Jul 2024
Biden’s candidacy was risky before the debate – and Democrats chose him anyway
And it will be no small thing to override a sense of personal loyalty and deep affection to give up on a friend. -
21 Jun 2024
Dictator on Day One? Trump’s grand plans for the federal bureaucracy
The aim to gut the US civil service and install political appointees could happen. But not overnight. -
8 Apr 2024
Beyond Biden vs Trump: The other US elections that matter
In US foreign policy, the Congress can pack a punch against the president, and that reverberates all the way to Australia. -
30 Oct 2023
The future isn’t what it used to be
Will a revolution be the way the world’s young people right the wrongs of the modern era? -
6 Oct 2021
AUKUS: What happens if the Republicans play the Trump card?
A White House change of guard could mean Australia needs to reassess its values under a more nihilistic regime. -
12 Mar 2021
A smarter use of voting technology to stop election-related violence
Maybe in the search for efficiency we sometimes overcomplicate things, and the better solution is to get back to basics. -
26 Aug 2020
America’s very unusual conventions
Following on the Democrats’ big show of unity last week, Republicans hit the screens this week to remake their leader. -
14 Aug 2020
Contemplating Kamala Harris
A discussion of US presidential candidate Joe Biden’s pick for vice-presidential running mate. -
12 Aug 2020
In US election, no surprise, no mystery
The only real unknown is just how far Donald Trump will go to remain in office. -
21 Jul 2020
Writing off Trump
A testy interview puts the spotlight on the President – but do the facts matter? -
15 Jun 2020
Disruption or demands? US post-election foreign policy in Asia
While the re-election of an incumbent may prove strangely turbulent, a new president could bring different burdens. -
5 May 2020
Who would Beijing prefer wins in November?
China looms over American politics, yet while bilateral ties are straining, a new president might not be welcome news. -
20 Mar 2020
Joe Biden and the ghosts of elections past
Faced with a diverse field of candidates and now a major crisis, Democrats go with what they know. -
13 Mar 2020
Democrats on trade, and North Korea: “No hot dish for the dictator”
From free trade to one of Asia’s most intractable challenges, a Democratic president needs to navigate Trump’s legacy. -
12 Mar 2020
The Democrats and China: “Our values are not a bargaining chip”
How and where the US projects force is one of many questions hanging over a potential Democratic presidency. -
11 Mar 2020
The Democrats and America’s place in the world: “A rescue mission”
The last men standing for the Democratic presidential nomination have a few things in common – and some big differences. -
2 Mar 2020
Projecting strength and staying power heading into Super Tuesday
Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden have both won short-lived momentum in the race to be a candidate and take on Donald Trump. -
17 Jan 2020
In Democratic debate, big distinctions but little difference
In the final debate among US presidential candidates before primaries begin, foreign policy took a rare front seat.