1 day ago
She won’t be right: Trump’s return and Australia’s red lines
The lessons from his first term hold limited relevance for what is on the way.
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2 days ago
Reading between the lines of Xi and Biden’s last meeting
Some remarkably frank language was perhaps intended for a different audience than the one across the table. -
2 days ago
Why getting Pyongyang back to the negotiating table will be harder in Trump’s second term
The North Korea of 2025 is in a vastly different position to where it found itself in 2017. -
18 Nov 2024
An early winter in Kyiv?
Unpicking the implications of Trump’s election win on the war in Ukraine. -
15 Nov 2024
What does Trump’s return mean for America’s relations with Russia?
Whatever happens over the next four years, the underlying causes of Russia–US confrontation won’t go away. -
14 Nov 2024
Economic diplomacy: It’s populists vs plutocrats in Trump Take 2
Australia’s hopes of a modest economic impact from the Trump administration’s actions will require navigating the financial tensions at its heart. -
8 Nov 2024
What Trump’s win means for global climate negotiations
The US election result casts a shadow over next week’s UN climate talks in Azerbaijan. But the world can’t afford to down tools. -
7 Nov 2024
Penny Wong is quizzed about Trump, again, again and again
And her main message was to be confident about Australia. -
6 Nov 2024
America makes Trump great, again
First thoughts on where Trump will steer US actions in Asia, the Pacific, and the rest of the world. -
6 Nov 2024
Where Harris and Trump agree on AI: Beat China
But can ethics keep pace with a desire for speed in development? -
29 Oct 2024
Drawing from global lessons, an apology long in the waiting for Native Americans
There is something distinctive about America’s historical inability to acknowledge a history of colonialism, making a rare moment of truth telling stand out. -
28 Oct 2024
What a Trump return might mean for AUKUS and the Quad
A nascent regional security “minilateral” architecture is vulnerable to Trump’s brand of disruption. -
24 Oct 2024
China’s cleantech investment in the US: Leg-up or security threat?
Security hawks have struggled to articulate a compelling case for completely pulling up the drawbridge. -
11 Oct 2024
The US wakes up to China’s latest threat – big ships
Hardly a day goes by that Chinese shipyards don’t book another fat contract for a commercial vessel. -
9 Oct 2024
EVs to the internet: Can the US and China unwind technology interdependence without disaster?
Bifurcation is a buzzword. But we are in new territory. -
9 Oct 2024
Governor Tim Walz and Minnesota’s relations with China
Supine? His record says no, but he’s not a strategist, either. -
7 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and Ukraine: Is the US truly committed to Ukrainian victory?
The only nation with a viable theory of victory is Russia. Harris must decide if the US will change that equation. -
7 Oct 2024
Trump would put personality over policy in the Middle East
Donald Trump’s overarching impulse towards the Middle East can be boiled down to: look strong, but don’t do too much. -
4 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and national security: The rising cost of military leadership
A Harris administration is unlikely to reverse America’s eroding military advantage over China. -
4 Oct 2024
A Trump win splits the East Asian triangle
Much commentary about China and the US election has suggested Beijing prefers Trump. In fact, the opposite might be the case. -
3 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and the Indo-Pacific: Correcting the attention deficit
Many Southeast Asian countries already see the United States as a more distant and less reliable partner. -
3 Oct 2024
Trump may surprise us on the Ukraine war
If Donald Trump can’t achieve a quick solution in Ukraine, he could well turn on Putin and increase US support to Ukraine. -
2 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and the Pacific Islands
Pacific Island countries want to hear more from the Democratic nominee about how she will support the region. -
2 Oct 2024
Trumpian economic nationalism is not what the world or America needs
Donald Trump’s policies are a recipe for higher global inflation, greater fragmentation, and more inequality. -
1 Oct 2024
Power in Asia: Pivots, paper tigers and regional poles
Pundits weaving stories of power transition in the Indo-Pacific should rely on robust data to flesh out the narrative. -
1 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and China: Competition and antagonism, continued
Harris is largely a blank slate on China policy. She is likely to stick to Biden policy positions and instincts, which means relations will remain rocky. -
1 Oct 2024
Trump and Asian security
Ideological and policy tribalism is a feature of every presidency. The new Trump team will be no different. -
30 Sep 2024
Kamala Harris and trade: Better than the alternative, but not much
Judging by the lack of major policy announcements from the Harris campaign, her administration is likely to largely maintain the Biden trajectory. -
30 Sep 2024
How Australia should deal with Trump
Trump disparages the liberal international order. Australia may need to serve in its bodyguard. -
26 Sep 2024
The Quad has solid foundations
Questions of the group’s future after the leaders’ summit are misguided. -
25 Sep 2024
Bargaining chips: What the Vance Doctrine means for Taiwan
With Taiwanese chips integral to the US economy, the would-be vice president is promoting his own brand of restrained nationalism. -
23 Sep 2024
Out of the way, USA
Focus on the United States might well reduce our bandwidth for what is going on in other regions. -
23 Sep 2024
Power in Asia: Outliers and curiosities
Some findings of the latest Asia Power Index controvert conventional wisdom. -
20 Sep 2024
Why US-China bipolarity is good for Asia
Restoring US primacy is not in Asia’s interests but preserving a power balance with China is. -
11 Sep 2024
Harris vs Trump marks the lines of foreign policy debate
Look past the barbs and snappy sound bites and the real choice is clear. -
10 Sep 2024
AI might better predict Trump’s foreign policy
A method marked the madness and can be decoded. -
9 Sep 2024
Three safe bets on the 47th president’s foreign policy
Whatever the outcome of the US election, states will remain self-interested, and material power will reign supreme. -
4 Sep 2024
Can the US and China avoid a catastrophic clash?
Jake Sullivan’s trip to Beijing was about managing tension and that’s the best that can be hoped for. -
2 Sep 2024
Antimony: The hidden metal fuelling global competition
China’s latest critical mineral restrictions have caught attention – but mooted solutions might not deliver. -
29 Aug 2024
US shifts nuclear focus to counter China’s growing arsenal
Beijing’s nuclear modernisation means its intentions and commitments to non-proliferation will continue to be questioned. -
29 Aug 2024
Harris vs Trump, and the foreign policy shake-up ahead
From AUKUS and the South China Sea, to Taiwan and Ukraine, Canberra and other allies will need creative diplomacy in their kit bag after November's election. -
16 Aug 2024
Farewell Fumio Kishida – regional foundations are stronger for your legacy
Too much focus on personality politics can obscure the enduring common interests between countries. -
7 Aug 2024
Looking back at the Biden administration’s Pacific strategy
Big promises haven’t always been backed up by delivery. But the main question is about enduring attention. -
30 Jul 2024
Made in the USA: America’s gambit to reclaim industrial primacy
Dominance in next-generation industry relies on people and partnerships to short-circuit China’s leading edge. -
26 Jul 2024
Martin Indyk, peacemaker
A scholar, a statesman, and a relentless policy entrepreneur. Above all, he was committed to a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian dispute. -
26 Jul 2024
Remembering Martin Indyk, an American diplomat with Australian sensibilities
“Few Australians have had such a large impact on the world, and for good”, said Lowy Institute Chairman Sir Frank Lowy. -
26 Jul 2024
Deadpool & Wolverine can rescue America from Trump
A superhero film to save a country in danger. -
24 Jul 2024
Don’t expect Trump 2.0 to be so tough on China
Past behaviour is the best guide to future conduct. -
23 Jul 2024
America’s election: It’s not foreign policy, stupid
For all the noise of the campaign, the next few months will be a quiet time in America’s approach to international affairs. -
22 Jul 2024
Bye Biden
The rollercoaster quality of politics and political coverage seems to ensure the head-jerks will continue.